The United States sharply reduced its imports of Nigerian crude oil in January 2026, with purchases falling by approximately 47.16% month-on-month, according to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Figures from the U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report indicate that U.S. crude imports from Nigeria fell to 1.664 million barrels in January 2026, down from 3.149 million barrels recorded in December 2025. This represents a decline of 1.485 million barrels within one month, showing a significant contraction in Nigeria’s share of the U.S. crude market.

In value terms, the drop was equally steep. The customs value of Nigerian crude imports declined from $217.36m in December to $115.99m in January, while the cost, insurance, and freight value fell from $223.10m to $118.95m over the same period. The difference between the two measures reflects additional costs such as shipping and insurance included in CIF values, which are excluded from customs valuation.

This means that in January, the CIF value of Nigerian crude was about $2.96m higher than its customs value, compared to a wider gap of about $5.74m in December. The narrowing gap suggests relatively lower freight or insurance costs, or shorter shipping distances within the period.

The Minister of Power, Adebayo Adelabu, has stated that the federal government is working on transitioning to a cost reflective tariff to stop an increase in the N4trn debt it owes the sector.

The minister who spoke during the Mission 300 Stakeholders’ Engagement meeting in Abuja, said this is part of reforms to set the power sector on the path of sustainability and bankability.
It would be recalled that despite the increase of electricity tariff for Band A customers, electricity consumers have complained of low electricity supply and continuous payment of faulty electricity installation.
But Adelabu said the decision is critical to the economic growth and development of Nigeria.

“Currently, there’s a huge outstanding debt to the power generation companies in the form of unpaid government subsidies which stands at about N4trn as of December 2024.

“The Federal Government is already working out modalities to defray this obligation and to ensure that further obligations are not accrued going forward, the government is working on a plan to transition the sector to a fully cost-reflective regime while implementing targeted subsidies for the economically vulnerable citizens in the country.”

The implication of this is that the government would end the subsidy regime in the electricity sector which would trigger an increase in tariff across board.

Report says government had accrued N1.1tr as subsidy payment in the first six months of 2025 making its debt climbing to N5tr.

The minister in a statement by his media aide, Bolaji Tunji, said improving power generation through recovery of idle capacities and expanding energy mix to ensure energy security and to dilute the power pool with cheaper and cleaner energy sources would be a priority.

He announced the priorities of the government in power sector reforms to include “addressing the market liquidity issues and initiating required sector reforms”.

“Other areas included expanding transmission infrastructure to deliver more power, ensuring stability of the national grid to put an end to several grid disturbances and collapses previously observed on the grid, and to further strengthen the coordination and management of the national grid.

The Minister also said that the ministry is pursuing increased renewable energy through its rural electrification and energy transition drive, to provide a reliable power supply to unserved and underserved communities.

He said the stakeholders meeting would provide an opportunity for them to align, strategize, and to build the partnerships needed to move from Nigeria Energy Compact, to concrete results, as he called on development partners, the private sector, philanthropic actors, the public sector, and the civil society organizations to rally around this mission.

The Minister of Finance, Chief Wale Edun, who spoke through zoom from Brazil also said that the reforms the government was undertaking in the power sector were critical towards unlocking the full potentials of the economy as it would lead to job creation. He said the reforms have led to over 40 percent increase in power distribution in the first quarter of 2025.

Cost reflective tariff versus allowed tariff

The cost reflective tariff for Band A – Non-MD customers is N231.79 while the allowed tariff is N209.50, Band A – MD1, cost reflective tariff is N225.90 while allowed tariff is N209.50 similarly, cost reflective tariff for Band A – MD2 is N220.01 while allowed tariff is N209.50.

For Band B – Non-MD, cost reflective tariff is N223.94 while allowed tariff is N68.96; Band B – MD1 cost reflective tariff is N220.01 while allowed tariff is N67.18, Band B – MD2, cost reflective tariff tariff is N216.08 while allowed tariff is N67.12.

For Band C- Non-MD, cost reflective tariff is N209.32 while allowed tariff is N56.38; Band C-MD1 cost reflective tariff is N200.37 while allowed tariff is N54.64 and Band C – MD2 cost reflective tariff is N200.37 while allowed tariff is N54.64.

Band D – Non-MD cost reflective tariff is N164.34 while allowed tariff is N39.67; Band D – MD1 cost reflective tariff is N207.67 while allowed tariff is N55.4; Band D – MD2 cost effective tariff is N207.56 while allowed tariff is N55.43.

Lastly, Band E – Non-MD cost reflective tariff is N145.07 while allowed tariff is N39.44, Band E – MD1 cost reflective tariff is N207.35 while allowed tariff is N55.43 and Band E – MD2 cost reflective tariff is N207.35 while allowed tariff is N55.43.

Consumers kick

According to a Daily Trust report, the President of Nigeria Consumer Protection Network, Kunle Olubiyo, said any increment with the current service delivery means electricity consumers will be fleeced by utility companies.

He said there has not been an increase in power generation, transmission infrastructure or upscale of distribution networks despite band segmentation helping to triple the inflow of revenue in the last one year.

“If you increase across boards, what assurance will there be of cost-reflective service? The Performance Improvement Plan, and investment in infrastructure, in the last 10 years, have not brought about any increase in generation, transmission evacuation, and distribution.

“You can imagine that between 2015 to date, we’ve only added 400 megawatts, because as of the time of Jonathan’s administration, we celebrated equilibrium of generation, transmission, and distribution at 5,600 megawatts. And now, since 2015, when Jonathan was leaving, to date we’ve not been able to hit 600 megawatts.”

He added that the government needs to make decisions to reflect political economy and political sensitivity, adding they should put people at the heart of its policies.

“The bullets should not be fired simultaneously such that it may have unintended consequences politically for the present administration. So, tariffs should not be at the expense of enforcement or implementation of the commitment to service level agreement.”

On his part, the CEO at Sage Consulting & Communications, Bode Fadipe, said the issue of liquidity has been a major challenge in the sector which has affected investment.

He said as long as there is no right investment in the sector, the sector will not progress.

But there is also the second argument that at what point can you say that you have achieved cost reflectivity, given the number of adjustments that you have seen in the sector, vis-a-vis the performance of the sector itself? What has been the consequence?”

He added that Band A customers that have increased the revenue in the sector are still not enjoying the amount that they pay for 20 hours and above.

“When you come from that perspective, you then begin to wonder whether another adjustment, or what has been described as cost reflectivity, will solve the problem.”
He stated that this means cost reflectivity is not the only problem that is plaguing the sector.

‘We must stop concentrating on costs’

“Why are we not addressing the other issues, policy issues, for instance, that are plaguing the sector? Why is it that it is only costs that we are concentrating on, and we are not looking at other issues that are associated with the sector? These are fundamental things. I do concede that the liquidity issue has been a historical factor, but is it the only problem that requires the kind of attention that liquidity is receiving?”

“I know that Generation is being owed about N4tr and the government is wondering where will they get the money from as the market is under that burden, but is it cost reflectivity alone that will bring about a translation into the power sector that we all desire? So for me, I think we really need to sit down and do a critical examination of the sector, and not that we’ll just be adjusting price alone.”

An electricity consumer on Band C, Abubakar Aliyu, said he gets less than 6 hours of electricity daily and on some days his community in Gwagwalada would be in total darkness.

He said any increase in electricity tariff will have to come with increased service, adding that he doubts if the DisCos have the capacity to do it.

“It is just like the electricity is being rationed as the electricity fluctuates daily. This move will be very bad as we all know how poor the DisCos are in terms of service delivery and repairs of faults. Even if the government wants to increase the tariff, they should ensure everything is in order first.”

The Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) has announced the creation of an Artificial Intelligence (AI) Division under the ICT Department.

The Commission made this known in a statement signed by its National Commissioner and Chairman Information and Voter Education Committee, Sam Olumekun, on Thursday.

He said that the approval for the creation of the new division is to continue to harness the positive aspects of AI and mitigate its negative impact on elections.

According to Olumekun, the division will enable the commission to better coordinate and maximise existing technology investments through centralised AI governance.

He added that it will also enhance decision-making through data-driven insights, risk management and voter engagement.

“Furthermore, it will strengthen electoral credibility through predictive analytics, automation and intelligent safeguards.

“This initiative puts the Commission in the forefront of institutionalising AI capabilities within our ICT infrastructure.

“It is also an important step in our ongoing reform of the electoral process in areas that only require administrative action by the Commission.”

INEC disclosed that it attended several conferences with colleagues around the continent on the impact of AI on elections.

These interactions, the commission said, were not only motivated by the concern over the use of AI to spread fake news or manipulate content online but also to utilise its benefits for data-driven decision-making, risk detection and mitigation, deepening voter services automation and geo-spatial intelligence in support of logistic optimisation for better material distribution and polling unit allocation.