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All Eyes On US TV Networks For ‘High Stakes’ Election Night

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FILE: US Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris (R) shakes hands with former US President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump during a presidential debate at the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on September 10, 2024. (Photo by SAUL LOEB / AFP)

 

Facing a results vacuum that could grind on for weeks, US TV networks are preparing to fill the airwaves against a backdrop of unprecedented pressure to avoid mistakes and a torrent of disinformation.

 

In 2020, it took four tense days for President Joe Biden’s victory to be announced.

This year, experts and observers will once again be waiting for the jigsaw puzzle of states to be declared for the Democrats or the Republicans one by one, and with them their electoral college votes, 270 of which are needed to win.

 

“It’s all going to come down to seven really competitive swing states, and in a lot of those states, we’re not going to have sufficient data to make a projection until either late that evening, early the next day, or in some cases, it might be days after the election,” said Joe Lenski, executive vice president of Edison Research.

 

His organization will produce exit polls, projections and vote counts for the ABC, CBS, NBC News and CNN networks.

In addition to a complex electoral system, the voting and counting procedures differ between regions.

 

Lenski points to Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, two key swing states, that do not start counting early votes until Election Day on November 5.

With no official results for weeks, it falls to the TV news networks to call states for either former president Donald Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris.

Behind the swish TV studios, the real pressure will not be on presenters and pundits, but on the network decision desks, teams of statisticians and analysts who will feed anchors with estimates based on the patchy first results.

 

– ‘Tremendous Pressure’ –

 

“The stakes are very high… there is tremendous pressure to capture viewers by giving them information as quickly as it is available, but the greatest risk is sacrificing accuracy for speed,” said Costas Panagopoulos, a political science professor at Northeastern University and former member of the NBC decision desk.

 

On November 3, 2020, just a few hours after the polls closed, America’s most popular conservative channel Fox News struck a body blow to Trump’s chances by calling Arizona for Biden.

The announcement, confirmed several days later by other media, infuriated the Trump camp.

Maybe most notorious was the U-turn networks made in 2000 after Florida was prematurely called for Democratic contender Al Gore.

 

To avoid a repeat of the credibility-damaging episode, media are relying on more advanced analytics that will use not just exit polls but also surveys of early voters.

 

– ‘Political Posturing’ –

 

Election lawyer Ben Ginsberg said he expected the “red mirage” of 2020, the apparent Republican lead that ebbed away as mail-in ballots popular with Democrats were added to tallies.

 

“(What’s) still unclear is whether a Republican push this year to have their voters cast ballots early will change this pattern,” Ginsberg added in an editorial in The New York Times.

 

During the marathon race to a result, channels will battle to keep their audiences while trying to uphold accuracy and transparency against an expected tidal wave of disinformation about alleged electoral fraud.

 

CNN will reprise its “magic wall,” allowing its chief national correspondent John King to display trends visually, showing off his encyclopedic knowledge of past votes.

 

NBC News has published several articles explaining in detail how data will be collated from more than 100,000 polling stations from November 5 onwards.

 

They have also detailed the precautions that will be taken to accurately project the results of 610 polls, including elections to the Senate and the House of Representatives.

 

“The amount of data that our partner news organizations provide their viewers… is more data than (has) ever been provided before. There’s more detail, there’s more maps, there’s more analysis than ever,” said Lenski.

 

“Delays themselves are not evidence of a conspiracy,” Ginsberg wrote in his column.

“If either candidate jumps the gun and declares victory before the votes are counted, dismiss it as political posturing.”

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AFP

International News

US Wants Justice In The killing Of Pastor Dachomo’s 9 Family Members 

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The United States has condemned the killing of members of the family of Plateau-based cleric, Rev. Ezekiel Dachomo, describing the attack as horrific and urging Nigerian authorities to ensure those responsible are brought to justice.

 

In a statement shared on X on Thursday, the US Department of State’s Bureau of African Affairs expressed condolences to the victims’ families and called for stronger measures to prevent further attacks on vulnerable communities across Nigeria’s Middle Belt.

“The United States strongly condemns the horrific killing of members of Rev. Ezekiel Dachomo’s family in Plateau State, Nigeria. The continued violence targeting Christian communities and other vulnerable populations in Nigeria’s Middle Belt is deeply alarming,” the bureau said

The US said it had already engaged Nigerian officials on the worsening security situation, stressing that urgent action was needed to curb recurring attacks and hold perpetrators accountable.

“As I discussed last week with Nigerian officials, we must do more to prevent violent acts. The perpetrators must be held accountable, and urgent action is needed to strengthen security and protect Christians and other vulnerable communities,” the statement added.

The bureau reaffirmed Washington’s commitment to working with the Nigerian government to combat terrorism and violent extremism, stressing that Christians and other Nigerians should be able to practise their faith without fear of violence.

The statement followed the July 12 attack on Kum community in Riyom Local Government Area of Plateau State, where nine members of Rev. Dachomo’s extended family, including a two-month-old baby, were killed.

According to the cleric, the attackers, believed to be armed Fulani militias, asked for him by name before opening fire on his relatives.

Dachomo, who serves as Regional Chairman of the Church of Christ in Nations (COCIN) in Barkin Ladi Local Government Area, said his family had repeatedly been targeted because of his outspoken criticism of the violence in Plateau State.

He recalled that his grandmother and an uncle were also killed in previous attacks, adding that days after burying his relatives, he received a written death threat from the same group, warning that he would be their next target.

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International News

Nigeria Missing As Saudi Arabia Names African Countries Eligible For eVisa

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Saudi Arabia has updated its tourist eVisa programme for 2026, limiting eligibility in Africa to only three countries as part of its list of 66 nations whose citizens can apply through the Kingdom’s online visa platform.

 

The move leaves most African countries, including Nigeria, outside the simplified entry scheme.

The electronic visa allows eligible travellers to visit Saudi Arabia for tourism, leisure activities, family visits and Umrah, excluding the annual Hajj pilgrimage. Applications are completed online, eliminating the need for embassy visits and lengthy visa processing.

Saudi authorities said the eVisa forms part of ongoing efforts to expand tourism, attract international visitors and simplify travel procedures through a fully digital application system. The visa is available only to citizens of approved countries and territories listed on the Kingdom’s official tourism portal.

Below is the list of African countries eligible for Saudi Arabia’s eVisa.

1. Mauritius

2. Seychelles

3. South Africa

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South Africa Says Over 53,000 Deported In Migration Campaign

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The South African government says more than 53,000 foreign nationals have been deported or repatriated since launching a “migration management” campaign five weeks ago.

Most were from Malawi, Zimbabwe, and Mozambique, officials say, and the number is likely to rise as repatriations and deportations continue.

South Africa is carrying out one of its biggest crackdowns on undocumented migrants in years, following weeks of anti-immigration protests that have seen violence, intimidation and looting.

Protesters have been demanding tighter border controls and mass deportations, accusing migrants of contributing to high unemployment, rising crime rates and collapse of public services.

The UN has warned against using migrants as scapegoats for South Africa’s socioeconomic challenges.

Anti-migrant activists have threatened to stage weekly protests to pressure the government until their demands are met, and there are fears the protests could turn violent.

The demonstrators had set an “unofficial deadline” of 30 June for all undocumented migrants to leave the country, which has seen many foreigners leave to escape violence and intimidation.

Several countries, including Ghana, Nigeria, Uganda and Kenya, have flown their citizens home in recent weeks.

Justice and Constitutional Development Minister Mmamoloko Kubayi announced on Sunday that 53,499 foreign nationals have been processed for deportation and repatriation, “which is dominated by the Malawians, followed by Zimbabweans and Mozambicans”.

“We are striving to achieve an orderly and regular migration which is mindful and sensitive to the concerns raised by our people, while observing human rights and dignity of all people in our country, irrespective of their citizenship and immigration status,” Kubayi told a news conference in Pretoria.

She said the repatriation and deportation process has helped them catch people who were wanted by the police for alleged criminal activity.

Authorities will continue to enforce its immigration laws, she added, but warned that protesters should not conduct unauthorised searches of homes and businesses that are suspected of sheltering undocumented migrants.

South Africa’s President Cyril Ramaphosa has acknowledged public concerns about immigration but has condemned attacks against migrants, warning citizens against taking the law into their own hands.

South Africa is the continent’s wealthiest nation and has long attracted migrants searching for better economic opportunities, some of whom enter the country illegally.

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