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Polls Show South Korea’s Lee On Track To Win Presidency By Landslide

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Centre-left candidate Lee Jae-myung is projected to win South Korea’s presidential election by a landslide after months of political chaos, exit polls showed Tuesday, with turnout the highest in nearly three decades.

 

 

Six months to the day after ex-president Yoon Suk Yeol plunged the country into crisis with his disastrous declaration of martial law, an exit poll by South Korea’s three major broadcasters showed Lee of the left-leaning Democratic Party with 51.7 percent of the vote.

Challenger Kim Moon-soo of the conservative People Power Party (PPP) was on track to win 39.3 percent, the poll showed.

Hundreds of Lee’s supporters broke into cheers outside the National Assembly, as party officials watching from inside the parliament started a chant of “Lee Jae-myung” as the exit poll results were announced.

For weeks, major polls had put Lee well ahead of Kim — Yoon’s labour minister — who struggled with party infighting and failed to convince a third party candidate to unify and avoid splitting the right-wing vote.

After months of turmoil and a revolving door of lame-duck acting leaders, many South Koreans said they were eager for the country to move forward.

“I hope the next president will create an atmosphere of peace and unity rather than ideological warfare,” cab driver Choi Sung-wook, 68, told AFP as he cast his ballot.

Noh Min-young, 20, who has been protesting in the streets since Yoon declared martial law, told AFP she was “relieved” at the exit poll projection.

“It’s been a tough road. I’m happy because it feels like we’ve seized the opportunity that so many people fought for over the past six months.”

South Korea’s next leader will take office almost immediately — as soon as the National Election Commission finishes counting the votes and validates the result, likely early Wednesday.

He will face a bulging in-tray, including global trade vicissitudes chafing the export-driven economy, some of the world’s lowest birth rates and an emboldened North Korea rapidly expanding its military arsenal.

‘Turning point’

But the fallout from Yoon’s martial law declaration, which has left South Korea effectively leaderless for the first months of US President Donald Trump’s tumultuous second term, was the decisive factor in the election, experts said.

The vote was “largely viewed as a referendum on the previous administration,” Kang Joo-hyun, a political science professor at Sookmyung Women’s University, told AFP.

Yoon’s impeachment over his martial law bid, which saw armed soldiers deployed to parliament, made him the second straight conservative president to be stripped of office after Park Geun-hye in 2017.

“Lee’s victory signals that the Korean public rejects illiberal and undemocratic measures such as martial law,” Gi-Wook Shin, a sociology professor at Stanford University, told AFP.

“This moment will likely be remembered as a peculiar and consequential turning point in South Korea’s political history.”

But Lee’s success is due as much to his rivals’ failings as his own strengths, said Minseon Ku, a postdoctoral researcher at the William & Mary Global Research Institute.

“Lee has a criminal record and was involved in several political and personal scandals, which made him deeply unpopular among many voters in the 2022 presidential election,” Ku said, referring to Lee’s unsuccessful run for top office, when he lost to Yoon by a narrow margin.

His rise to the presidency is “a reflection of the deep political turmoil South Korea has been experiencing”.

South Korean presidents serve a single five-year term.

High turnout

Turnout in the June 3 poll was high, running at around 77.8 percent by late afternoon, officials said — the highest in nearly two decades.

Ballot counting stations swung into action after polls closed at 8:00 pm (1100 GMT), AFP reporters saw, with boxes of ballots arriving at the Seoul National University Gymnasium in Gwanak-gu district.

On election day, Seoul streets were peaceful as people made the most of good weather and a public holiday, but police issued the highest level of alert and deployed thousands of officers to ensure the election and inauguration Wednesday proceed smoothly.

Lee — who survived an assassination attempt last year — has been campaigning in a bullet-proof vest and delivering speeches behind a glass protective shield.

With Lee’s projected victory, the country’s left wing Democratic Party has “strengthened their hold on moderately conservative urban men and women in their 30-40s”, Vladimir Tikhonov, Korean Studies professor at the University of Oslo, told AFP.

These voters “just want some normalcy and gradual improvement of the welfare system”, he said.

“Yoon’s coup attempt scared these people, and for the time being they are not going to return to the PPP.”

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Appeal Court Cuts Simon Ekpa’s Jail Term From 6 To 4 Years

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A Finnish appeal court has reduced the prison sentence of Biafran separatist leader, Simon Ekpa, from six to four years.

 

Finnish newspaper Yle disclosed this in a report on Thursday.

However, the Court of Appeal upheld the decision of the Päijät-Häme District Court, which found Ekpa guilty of terrorism-related charges last year.

The charges were related to Ekpa’s alleged activities aimed at re-establishing an independent state of Biafra in southeastern Nigeria.

Ekpa subsequently appealed the ruling, seeking to have his conviction and sentence overturned.

In a ruling that offered some relief to Ekpa, the Court of Appeal found him guilty of the same offences but reduced his prison term after considering the circumstances surrounding his actions. The court noted that the situation in the Biafran region closely resembled, but did not meet the definition of, a civil war.

Ekpa had told the court that his involvement was not motivated by terrorist intent, citing the political turmoil in the Biafran region.

The prosecutor in the case had also appealed the district court’s decision, arguing that the prison sentence did not reflect the seriousness of Ekpa’s offences.

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UNHCR: Nigeria Hosts Over 142,000 Refugees, Seeks More Foreign Support

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The Federal Government has called for stronger international responsibility sharing and innovative arrangement to address the growing humanitarian needs of over 142,000 refugees and asylum seekers from 42 countries.

 

The Minister of Humanitarian Affairs and Poverty Reduction, Dr. Bernard Doro, made the call while delivering Nigeria’s national statement at the 77th Session of the Executive Committee of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), currently holding at the Palais des Nations in Geneva.

In a statement by his Senior Technical Adviser on Information Systems and Data Analysis, Dr. Abimbola Fasanu, the Minister disclosed that as of September 2026, Nigeria had received over 24,000 returnees and was managing a population of more than 6.7 million internally displaced persons (IDPs).

Doro reaffirmed Nigeria’s commitment to international refugee protection obligations, noting that the country continues to maintain an asylum system under the National Commission for Refugees, Migrants and Internally Displaced Persons (NCFRMI) Act of 2022.

He stated that no case of refoulement had been recorded in Nigeria in 2026, reaffirming the country’s commitment to protecting people fleeing persecution from being returned to situations where their lives or freedom could be threatened.

Highlighting progress on durable solutions, the Minister disclosed that over 7,000 Nigerian refugees had voluntarily returned from neighbouring countries this year under Tripartite Agreements, while another 14,000 in Cameroon had registered their intention to return. An agreement covering the return of 2,000 Nigerians from Niger is also being finalised.

He acknowledged the continued hospitality of Cameroon, Chad and Niger in providing refuge to displaced Nigerians.

According to the Minister, improved security conditions in parts of the country are creating opportunities for voluntary return, while Resettlement Cities established in seven locations are supporting the phased closure of displacement camps in conditions of safety and dignity.

Beyond return and resettlement, Dr. Doro outlined measures aimed at promoting self-reliance and reducing prolonged dependence on humanitarian assistance.

He explained that refugees in five states are benefiting from access to land, agricultural inputs and skills training, while the newly established Public-Private Partnership Department of the NCFRMI is supporting efforts to expand livelihood opportunities.

The Minister also cited the successful local integration of former Liberian and Sierra Leonean refugees, some of whom have established businesses and become economically active members of their host communities.

On access to essential services, he disclosed that displaced persons and host communities are being enrolled in Nigeria’s national identity system to facilitate access to banking, education and social services.

He added that refugees are being incorporated into state action plans and social registers, while ten mobile documentation buses are expected to extend identity services to underserved and remote communities.

Doro further highlighted the development of a Digital Gateway in collaboration with UNHCR to provide refugees with secure online access to information.

Addressing the growing pressure on humanitarian financing, the Minister urged the international community to strengthen support for refugee-hosting countries through expanded resettlement opportunities, complementary pathways and greater responsibility-sharing.

He specifically called on UNHCR to explore partnerships with regional and subregional financial institutions, including the African Development Bank and the ECOWAS Bank for Investment and Development, as a means of mobilising additional resources for refugee protection and durable solutions.

The Minister emphasised that the responsibility for addressing displacement could not rest on host countries alone, particularly at a time of increasing humanitarian needs and declining international resources.

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Child Soldiers: US List Nigeria Among Erring Countries, Threaten Sanctions

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The United States has listed Nigeria among 14 countries identified for recruiting or using child soldiers, warning that the designation could trigger restrictions on certain forms of military assistance.

The listing is contained in the 2026 Trafficking in Persons (TIP) Report, which covers the period from April 1, 2025, to March 31, 2026.

According to the report, restrictions under the Child Soldiers Prevention Act (CSPA) could affect international military education and training, foreign military financing, excess defence articles, peacekeeping operations and licences for direct commercial sales of military equipment, unless a presidential waiver is granted.

Nigeria was listed alongside Afghanistan, Burma, the Central African Republic, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, Iran, Russia, Rwanda, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Venezuela and Yemen.

The report also retained Nigeria on Tier 2 for human trafficking, a category for countries whose governments do not fully meet the minimum standards for eliminating trafficking but are making significant efforts to comply.

However, the US raised concerns about corruption and alleged official complicity in human trafficking crimes.

“The government did not report any investigations, prosecutions, or convictions of government employees allegedly complicit in trafficking crimes or provide details or other actions taken against complicit officials from previous years,” the report stated.

The report also faulted Nigeria’s efforts to protect trafficking victims, stating that 675 victims received assistance in 2025, compared with 2,058 in the previous year.

It said support services, particularly for male victims, remained limited, with only one dedicated non-governmental organisation shelter for adult male victims operating during the reporting period.

The report further stated that shelters operated by the National Agency for the Prohibition of Trafficking in Persons (NAPTIP) restricted residents’ freedom of movement, while access to certain protection services depended on victims cooperating with law enforcement proceedings.

Despite these concerns, the report acknowledged increased government efforts in investigating, prosecuting and securing convictions in human trafficking cases compared with the previous reporting period.

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