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Why Rice Prices Are Soaring In Japan

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Japanese inflation data released Friday showed that rice prices last month were a whopping 98 percent higher than a year earlier.

 

 

AFP looks at the factors behind the sharp increase, which started several months ago, and how it has become a major headache for the government of Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba.

 

People shop in a supermarket in Tokyo on May 23, 2025.  (Photo by Philip FONG / AFP)

Shortages

Experts say that the main reason for the spike in rice prices is simply because of a shortage of the food staple, which for centuries has been deeply ingrained in Japanese culture.

Factors behind that include a record hot summer in 2023 that hit harvests, followed by a surge in demand in 2024, in part fuelled by panic-buying following a warning of a massive earthquake, which did not materialise.

Unprecedented numbers of tourists hungry for sushi and other foods using rice have also been blamed, as have alleged hoarding by some distributors.

(FILES) This photo taken on March 7, 2025 shows government stockpiled rice in a warehouse in Kanagawa prefecture.  (Photo by Kazuhiro NOGI / AFP)

Falling acreage

For years, with rice consumption falling, government policy has been to reduce the amount of land used to grow the grain in favour of other crops.

At the same time, in line with Japan’s ageing population, many rice farmers are old and their children don’t want to take over.

Nearly 90 percent of individual farms are run by farmers over 60, and 70 percent have no successor secured, according to the agricultural ministry.

The amount of land used for rice paddies shrank to 2.3 million hectares (5.7 million acres) in 2024, down from a peak of 3.4 million hectares in 1961.

“The Japanese authorities have long focused on how to reduce the scale of rice production in the name of market control, and they haven’t focused on how to increase rice consumption,” said Tadao Koike, the third-generation master of a Tokyo rice retailer dating back over 90 years.

“Now we are all dealing with the payback,” Koike told AFP.

 

(FILES) This photo taken on March 7, 2025 shows government stockpiled rice in a warehouse in Kanagawa prefecture. (Photo by Kazuhiro NOGI / AFP)

Stockpile

The government started to auction some of its emergency reserves in February, having previously tapped into them during disasters. This is first time since the stores were built in 1995 that supply chain problems are behind the move.

However, as the latest data show, the move has had little impact so far.

Masayuki Ogawa, assistant professor at Utsunomiya University, said this was because the reserve feeds into “blended rice” and not into the more popular branded grains from a particular region or variety.

“In terms of average prices, the price of brand-name rice has risen enough to offset the effect of stockpiled rice pushing down the average price, making it difficult for retail prices in supermarkets to fall even when stockpiled rice is released,” Ogawa told AFP.

 

People shop in a supermarket in Tokyo on May 23, 2025.  (Photo by Philip FONG / AFP)

Political backlash

After years of stagnant or falling prices, inflation is now squeezing Japanese consumers and by extension hitting support for the government.

The Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), which has governed almost non-stop for decades, lost its majority last year and had to cobble together a coalition.

And last weekend the farm minister sparked public anger with controversial comments about accessing supplies.

Taku Eto told an event that he “never bought rice myself because my supporters donate so much to me”.

Eto resigned but the episode will likely have added to a sense among voters that the LDP — which faces upper house elections in July — is out of touch.

Still, Marcel Thieliant, at Capital Economics, said “weekly rice prices are showing signs of stabilisation so rice inflation should start to soften again before long”.

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International News

Nottingham Forest Sacks 5th Manager In 10 Months, To Wrap Up Oliver Glasner’s Deal

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Oliver Glasner is in advanced talks to replace Vitor Pereira as Nottingham Forest head coach, a move which would see the Austrian become the club’s fifth manager in less than a year.

 

Pereira announced his departure from the club in a statement on Wednesday, saying that it came as a “complete surprise to me and without any warning”.

Glasner is a free agent after leaving Crystal Palace — where he won the FA Cup in 2024-25 and then the Community Shield and Conference League the following campaign — and is set to stay in the Premier League.

The 51-year-old confirmed in January that he would leave Palace at the end of the season after two years in charge.

On Thursday, Forest confirmed Pereira’s coaching staff Filipe Almeida, Luis Miguel, Bruno Moura, Marco Knoop and Pedro Lopes had all left the club alongside the head coach.

Pereira, 57, was appointed Forest head coach in February on an 18-month contract which runs until 2027.

The Athletic reported in May Forest had been planning to show their faith in Pereira by handing the head coach a new long-term contract, but those talks were subsequently put on hold.

“Today marks the end of my journey as head coach of Nottingham Forest,” he said in his statement.

“I want to say a sincere thank you to everyone connected with this incredible football club. Although this decision came as a complete surprise to me and without any warning, I fully respect the club’s right to make the decisions it believes are best for its future.

“Naturally, I am disappointed and saddened. I truly believed in what we were building together, and I leave with a sense of pride in everything we achieved over the past months.

“Together, we enjoyed a memorable end to the season. We secured the club’s Premier League status, reached the semi-finals of the Europa League, and created moments that will stay with me forever. Most importantly, I saw a group of players grow in confidence, belief and togetherness.

“I leave Nottingham Forest with no bitterness or resentment—only respect, gratitude and wonderful memories. Football is full of unexpected moments, and while this chapter has ended sooner than I expected, I will always look back on my time here with pride and affection.”

The Portuguese succeeded Sean Dyche and was Forest’s fourth permanent boss of the season following the departures of Nuno Espirito Santo and Ange Postecoglou.

Nuno had led Forest to Europa League qualification the previous season but he departed in September, less than three months after signing a new deal. Postecoglou was appointed his replacement but was dismissed just 39 days later. Dyche took charge of the team in October before his dismissal in February.

Forest were three points above the relegation zone when Pereira was appointed and he subsequently steered his side to Premier League safety with two games of the campaign remaining.

His appointment marked his second managerial spell in the Premier League after guiding Wolverhampton Wanderers to safety during the 2024-25 campaign.

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Ronaldo Dismisses Sister’s Retirement Claim

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Cristiano Ronaldo has publicly countered suggestions from his sister, Katia Aveiro, that he intends to retire from international football following the World Cup.

 

The Portuguese legend recently led his team to the round of 16 following a 2-1 victory over Croatia.

Ronaldo continued to be a pivotal player for his country, having scored the equalising goal from the penalty spot after going one goal down in the second half.

Following his goal, he became the oldest player to score in the knockout stage of the FIFA World Cup.

Reports from Portuguese media had quoted Aveiro stating that the current tournament would be Ronaldo’s final appearance for the national team.

Before the recent match against Croatia, Aveiro was quoted as saying, “From the information I have, from a reliable source, I believe that this is the last dance, so let’s enjoy it. I strongly believe this is the farewell.”

However, the football icon has made it clear that his focus remains solely on the present, not on his future.

“My future isn’t important right now,” Ronaldo stated. “I’ll have time; after winning or losing, I’ll talk to my family and then make the best decision.”

The legendary forward, who recently secured a trophy in Saudi Arabia, holds the record for both appearances and goals for his national team, with 146 goals in 232 caps.

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Match-Fixing: UEFA Slams Club With Europa League Ban

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The UEFA Appeals Body has announced that Czech club Karvina is banned from participating in next season’s Europa League. UEFA made the decision based on competition regulations, ruling that Karvina “directly or indirectly participated in activities aimed at manipulating or influencing the results of domestic matches,” as stated in the official resolution.

 

As a result of this decision, Karvina’s spot as domestic cup winner will be taken by Viktoria Plzeň, with Viktoria Plzeň’s second qualifying round spot going to Hradec Králové. Jablonec will fill the vacant Conference League spot originally held by Hradec Králové.

In the Europa League, Hradec Králové will face Tromsø. In the Conference League, Jablonec will face Varaždin.

Viktoria Plzeň will learn their opponent in the Europa League playoff draw on Monday, August 3.

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